Foundations of Quantitative Research in Political Science
Quick Recap: Populations and Samples
Population
- The entire group of units that we want to draw conclusions about.
- Whatever unit or thing we are interested in, the population would be composed of every one of those units.
- A population does not necessarily refer to people: it can be composed of countries, states, organizations, groups of people, etc.
Sample
- A subset of units taken from the population that we collect data on.
- A sample is representative of the population if it accurately reflects the characteristics of the population.
- In other words, a sample is representative of the population if it looks very similar to the population.
Measuring populations and samples
- Parameter
- A measure of a characteristic of a population (ex. mean, median, mode, standard deviation, etc.)
- The “true” value we want to know
- A fixed measure that does not change
- Statistic
- A measure of a characteristic of a sample (ex. mean, median, mode, standard deviation, etc.)
- Unique to each sample, so it changes depending on the sample
Inference
- Drawing conclusions about populations using samples.
- Can only be done with samples that are representative of the population.
- Can only be done with samples that are large enough.
Types of samples
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- Nonprobability samples
- Not everyone in the population has a probability of being selected into the sample.
- Are not representative of the population.
- Cannot use to make inferences about population.
- Probability samples
- Everyone in the population has some probability of being selected into the sample.
- Can create samples that are representative of the population.
- Includes various types of samples, most well-known is the simple random sample (here referred to as “random sample”).
- Nonprobability samples
Random sample
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- Each unit in the population has the same probability of being selected to be in the sample
- Each unit has an equal chance of being in the sample
- Gives us samples that are representative of the population
- Sample will look very similar to our population across various characteristics
- We can use random samples for inference!
- Funny video linkLinks to an external site.
- Each unit in the population has the same probability of being selected to be in the sample
Dig Deeper
Populations, samples, and inference
- Galderisi, Peter. Understanding Political Science Statistics: Observations and Expectations in Political Analysis. Routledge, 2015. Chapter 6.
- More nuanced discussion about populations and samples: https://conjointly.com/kb/sampling-in-research/ (Links to an external site.)
- Explanation of sampling distributions: https://conjointly.com/kb/sampling-statistical-terms/ (Links to an external site.)
- Explanation of sampling distributions: https://stattrek.com/sampling/sampling-distribution.aspx?tutorial=AP (Links to an external site.)
Types of samples
- Introduction to different types of probability samples: https://conjointly.com/kb/probability-sampling/ (Links to an external site.)
- Introduction to different types of nonprobability samples: https://conjointly.com/kb/nonprobability-sampling/